The Rise of the Multitudes
    Next Post

    The Rise of the Multitudes

    The expert era is ending. What replaces it was inside us the whole time.

    Somewhere at a dinner tonight, a person who does many things is about to be asked what they do.

    Watch their face. There is a pause, half a second, maybe less, while an entire internal committee meets. The company gets mentioned or the art does, never both. One box gets handed over, and its owner spends the rest of the evening living inside it. I know that pause intimately. I did seventy-five things and introduced myself as one-seventh of a person for twenty years.

    This essay is about why that pause exists, what it costs, and why, for the first time in about a century, the economics of the world just flipped to the side of the people who refuse the box.

    I. The deal that just expired

    For roughly a hundred years, professional life ran on one deal: pick one thing, go deep, become the expert, charge for the expertise. The deal built universities, consulting industries, and the entire architecture of the CV. It also built a quiet tyranny of the question "what do you do?", singular, always singular.

    The deal has expired. Not gradually. In about two years.

    Frontier AI systems now pass professional licensing exams in law and medicine and answer, in seconds, questions that once required a decade of specialized training. I run a reputation architecture firm; I watch what my clients' organizations pay for, and I can report the shift plainly: nobody is paying for stored knowledge anymore. The machine stores it better, retrieves it faster, and never bills overtime. Expertise, the asset our parents told us to accumulate like gold, has become tap water. Clean, abundant, nearly free.

    Here is the economic law that matters: when something becomes abundant, value migrates to its complements. The question of the decade is simply this. What complements infinite, free expertise?

    Three things. A point of view, because the machine has answers but no stake. Creativity, because the machine interpolates and humans leap. And trust in a specific, known, verifiable human being, because as feeds flood with synthetic everything, the premium on provably real is rising in front of our eyes.

    Point of view. Creativity. A trusted name. None of these are skills. All of them are properties of a whole person. Which brings us to the people this economy is about to reward.

    II. The evidence was always there

    We treat multidimensional people as charming exceptions. The data says they are the pattern of exceptional achievement.

    Robert Root-Bernstein and his colleagues at Michigan State spent years comparing the avocations of every Nobel laureate in the sciences from 1901 to 2000 against those of ordinary scientists. The laureates were nearly three times more likely to have serious artistic pursuits. Twenty-two times more likely to perform, to sing, act, do magic. Twelve times more likely to write poetry or fiction. Seven times more likely to paint or sculpt. The ordinary scientists' hobbies matched the general public's. The extraordinary ones contained multitudes, and the researchers' conclusion was not that genius makes room for hobbies, but that the crafts and the arts train the thinking: the pattern play, the analogy, the tolerance for not knowing that breakthroughs require.

    David Epstein reached the same destination through sport and career data in Range: in complex, unpredictable domains, which is to say, in everything that matters now, broad early sampling beats early specialization. The generalists look behind in the beginning and win in the end.

    And history keeps offering the same silhouette. Hedy Lamarr, filed under "most beautiful woman in film," co-invented the frequency-hopping technology that underpins your WiFi. Ignacy Paderewski toured the world as a concert pianist, served as Prime Minister of Poland, signed the Treaty of Versailles, and went back to the piano. Josephine Baker, the most famous dancer in Paris, carried Resistance intelligence through checkpoints in her sheet music, because nobody searches the entertainer. Maya Angelou was a streetcar conductor, a calypso singer with a released album, and a dancer before she was the poet the world memorized. Dolly Parton wrote three thousand songs, said no to Elvis to keep her publishing, built a theme park, mailed over two hundred million books to children, and helped fund a vaccine. Jamie Foxx took a classical piano scholarship and a quarterback's playbook to an Oscar and a Grammy.

    Every one of them was, at some point, advised to focus.

    III. The permission problem

    So if the multitudes were always the pattern, why does everyone hide them? Because permission to be several things in public has been rationed, and rationed by status.

    Consider the cleanest experiment the business world ever ran. David Solomon, chief executive of Goldman Sachs, spent years DJing festivals under the name D-Sol. When the most powerful banker alive played Ibiza, his multitudes made him more credible: human, interesting, profiled admiringly. When a mid level professional shows the same dimension, the verdict flips: is she serious about her career? Same behavior. Opposite sentence. Multitudes have been treated as a luxury good, permitted only after you have proven yourself inside one box. (Even Solomon eventually stepped back from public DJing under pressure. The box comes for everyone. That is the tell that the rationing was never rational.)

    I lived on both sides of this experiment. For most of my career I was afraid, with a very specific, very reasonable sounding fear, that if the people I advise discovered I am also a soul singer, also a comedian, also the goofy one, their trust would quietly leave the room. So I performed a beige version of myself in boardrooms and sang for fifteen years to an audience of one steering wheel. I have watched hundreds of executives run the same program. The suppression is invisible, unpaid, and exhausting, and it is not free. Brené Brown's research puts it without anesthesia: unused creativity is not benign. It metastasizes, into resentment, into anxiety, into grief that picks a place in the body and waits. Mine eventually presented the invoice all at once. That story is a book, not a paragraph. The book is called Multitudes, and it is coming.

    Here is what I saw at Davos that reorganized my thinking: will.i.am on an artificial intelligence panel at midday, tracksuit, cap, sunglasses, and on a stage that same evening, performing, dressed exactly the same. No costume change between selves. It had never occurred to me that this was allowed. That is how deep the rationing goes: we need to see permission before we can take it.

    IV. The flip

    Now run the two trend lines forward and watch them cross.

    Line one: the value of narrow expertise, falling, commoditized by machines that already hold every specialty simultaneously. (What is AI, structurally? The ultimate specialist in everything, which is precisely why another specialist is the easiest thing for it to replace.)

    Line two: the value of being a specific, creative, known human, rising. Goldman Sachs Research projects the creator economy will roughly double from about $250 billion to $480 billion by 2027; the market for people being knowably themselves in public is on its way to half a trillion dollars. Weber Shandwick's research attributes 44% of a company's market value to the reputation of its chief executive; perception at the top is not garnish, it is nearly half the balance sheet. Trust surveys keep finding the same thing: audiences believe visible, specific humans over faceless institutions.

    The lines have crossed. The person who spent decades being told "you do too much," the operator who sings, the engineer who writes, the lawyer who paints, the ADHD brain that never fit a single lane, just became the most defensible economic unit of the coming decade. Not because the world grew kind. Because the combination cannot be replicated, and everything else can.

    I want to be precise here, because precision is the difference between a thesis and a slogan. This is not an argument for dabbling. A multitude is not a hobby collection; it is an integration, disciplines feeding each other inside one coherent person. My twelve years of ballroom live inside my DJ sets. My five languages live inside every negotiation. The reputation craft I sell by day is the same craft that builds the stage I sing on. Dilettantes accumulate. Multitudes compound. Depth still matters. What died is the requirement that depth come in singular.

    And so, a prediction with a date on it, so you can hold me to it: by 2030, "what is your niche?" will sound the way "what is your fax number?" sounds today.

    V. The rise

    A poet wrote, more than a century and a half ago, "I am large, I contain multitudes." I did not get the word from Whitman. I lived my way to the same word, and found out later that he had arrived first. That is the point, actually. People keep arriving at this truth independently, in every era, and every era finds a new way to talk them out of it. Fă o meserie, they said where I grew up. Pick a lane. Choose. Focus. Be serious.

    The talking out of it just lost its economic argument.

    So this is not advice. I don't do advice; the machines give excellent advice now. It is an observation and a permission slip, and only one of those was ever in short supply. Containing multitudes was never the achievement; every human alive contains them. The achievement, the rise, is leading with them: bringing all of it forward, in public, at the same time, with your name on it.

    The expert era is ending. The multitudes were never a liability to explain away. They were the asset waiting for its market. And the market has arrived.

    You were never too much. You were early.

    Sources & further reading

    • Root-Bernstein, R. et al., "Arts Foster Scientific Success: Avocations of Nobel, National Academy, Royal Society, and Sigma Xi Members," Journal of Psychology of Science and Technology (2008).
    • Goldman Sachs Research, "The creator economy could approach half a trillion dollars by 2027" (2023).
    • Weber Shandwick, The CEO Reputation Premium, 44% of company market value attributed to CEO reputation.
    • David Epstein, Range: Why Generalists Triumph in a Specialized World (2019).
    • Brené Brown on unused creativity (interviews and The Gifts of Imperfection).
    • Walt Whitman, "Song of Myself," Leaves of Grass (1855).

    — Claudia